Is Mandriva dieing?

Great question.  Whether you were spooked by the post on a bugreport or amazed to hear about the forking of the project it appears everyone agrees that it's not going well.  The company has been struggling for some time now.  To hear that it may not be able to recover is disapointing.  I do wonder though how many Corporate distrobutions of Linux can really be profitable?  I hope they can pull it out and make a go at it.

How many Companies do you think will be able to survive and be profitable?